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PUB 540 Measuring Morbidity Prevalence and Incidence IN
PUB 540 Measuring Morbidity Prevalence and Incidence IN
Assessment Description
Morbidity is a term used to describe the unhealthy state of an individual (e.g., individual with diabetes) or within a population (e.g., the incidence of seasonal flu). Whereas mortality is the rate of death in population. Both terms are applied in epidemiology at the individual level and across a population. In public health, surveillance plays an essential role. Surveillance is carried out for many reasons, such as monitoring changes in disease frequency or monitoring changes in the levels of risk factors. Much of the information that is obtained about mortality and morbidity comes from surveillance.
For this assignment, examine prevalence and incidence to measure morbidity for a disease. Read the scenario below and complete the assignment as instructed.
Scenario
In Community X (population 20,000), an epidemiologist conducted a prevalence survey in January of 2012 and reported an HIV prevalence of 2.2%. Over the next 12 months, the department of health reported an additional 50 new HIV cases between February 2012 and January 2013. The total population stayed constant at 20,000.
Assignment Instructions
- How many people had HIV in January 2012? Present or describe the formula you used to arrive at your answer.
- Calculate the incidence rate assuming no HIV-related deaths over the 12-month period. Present or describe the formula you used to arrive at your answer. Be sure to clearly indicate the numerator and denominator used in your calculation and include an appropriate label for the rate.
- In a summary of 200-250 words, interpret the results and discuss the relationship between incidence and prevalence. Discuss whether or not the epidemiologist should be concerned about these new HIV infections, assuming a previous incidence rate of 0.5 per 1,000 person-years prior to this updated risk assessment.
You are required to cite to a minimum of three sources to complete this assignment. Sources must be published within the last 5 years and appropriate for the assignment criteria and public health content.
While APA style is not required for the body of this assignment, solid academic writing is expected, and documentation of sources should be presented using APA formatting guidelines, which can be found in the APA Style Guide, located in the Student Success Center.
This assignment uses a rubric. Please review the rubric prior to beginning the assignment to become familiar with the expectations for successful completion.
You are not required to submit this assignment to LopesWrite.
Rubric Criteria
Total50 points
Criterion | 1. Unsatisfactory | 2. Insufficient | 3. Approaching | 4. Acceptable | 5. Target |
Format/Documentation
Uses appropriate style, such as APA, MLA, etc., for college, subject, and level; documents sources using citations, footnotes, references, bibliography, etc., appropriate to assignment and discipline. |
0 points
Appropriate format is not used. No documentation of sources is provided. |
1.85 points
Appropriate format is attempted, but some elements are missing. Frequent errors in documentation of sources are evident. |
1.98 points
Appropriate format and documentation are used, although there are some obvious errors. |
2.18 points
Appropriate format and documentation are used with only minor errors. |
2.5 points
No errors in formatting or documentation are present. Selectivity in the use of direct quotations and synthesis of sources is demonstrated. |
People With HIV Based on Prevalence of 2.2%
People With HIV Based on Prevalence of 2.2% |
0 points
The number of people with HIV is not presented. |
11.1 points
The number of people with HIV is presented, but the answer is incorrect; or the answer is correct, but the calculations are not presented. |
11.85 points
The number of people with HIV is presented along with the calculations, but the answer or calculations are not correct. |
13.05 points
N/A |
15 points
The correct number of people with HIV is presented. All calculations use the correct numbers and are calculated correctly. |
Mechanics of Writing
Includes spelling, capitalization, punctuation, grammar, language use, sentence structure, etc. |
0 points
Errors in grammar or syntax are pervasive and impede meaning. Incorrect language choice or sentence structure errors are found throughout. |
1.85 points
Frequent and repetitive mechanical errors are present. Inconsistencies in language choice or sentence structure are recurrent. |
1.98 points
Occasional mechanical errors are present. Language choice is generally appropriate. Varied sentence structure is attempted. |
2.18 points
Few mechanical errors are present. Suitable language choice and sentence structure are used. |
2.5 points
No mechanical errors are present. Skilled control of language choice and sentence structure are used throughout. |
Calculation of Incident Rate Over 12 Months
Calculation of Incident Rate Over 12 Months |
0 points
Incident rate is not calculated. |
11.1 points
Incident rate is calculated, but is incorrect; or incident rate is correct, but calculations are not presented. |
11.85 points
Incidence rate is calculated, and formulas used in the calculation are presented, but incidence rate or calculations are not correct. |
13.05 points
N/A |
15 points
Incident rate is calculated correctly and presented in accordance with the assignment guidelines. All calculations use the correct numbers and are calculated correctly. |
Summary
Interpretation of results, incidence and prevalence, projected concerns. |
0 points
Interpretation of the calculations/results is not presented. |
11.1 points
An incomplete interpretation of calculations/results is summarized. |
11.85 points
A general interpretation of the calculations/results is presented. The relationship between incidence and prevalence is summarized. General reasoning for future concerns regarding HIV infections is presented. The interpretation does not fully reflect the calculations/results presented. The summary has some inaccuracies or needs more detail or evidence for claims. |
13.05 points
An interpretation of the calculations/results is presented. The relationship between incidence and prevalence is presented. Adequate rationale for future concerns regarding HIV infections is presented. The interpretation reflects the calculations/results presented. Evidence is adequate to support claims. Some detail is needed for clarity. |
15 points
A detailed interpretation of the calculations/results is presented. The relationship between incidence and prevalence is clearly presented. Compelling rationale for future concerns regarding HIV infections is presented. The interpretation reflects the calculations/results presented. Strong evidence is provided to support claims. |
PUB 540 Measuring Morbidity Prevalence and Incidence IN Grading Rubric
Performance Category | 100% or highest level of performance
100% 16 points |
Very good or high level of performance
88% 14 points |
Acceptable level of performance
81% 13 points |
Inadequate demonstration of expectations
68% 11 points |
Deficient level of performance
56% 9 points
|
Failing level
of performance 55% or less 0 points |
Total Points Possible= 50 | 16 Points | 14 Points | 13 Points | 11 Points | 9 Points | 0 Points |
Scholarliness
Demonstrates achievement of scholarly inquiry for professional and academic topics. |
Presentation of information was exceptional and included all of the following elements:
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Presentation of information was good, but was superficial in places and included all of the following elements:
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Presentation of information was minimally demonstrated in all of the following elements:
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Presentation of information is unsatisfactory in one of the following elements:
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Presentation of information is unsatisfactory in two of the following elements:
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Presentation of information is unsatisfactory in three or more of the following elements
|
16 Points | 14 Points | 13 Points | 11 Points | 9 Points | 0 Points | |
Application of Course Knowledge
Demonstrate the ability to analyze and apply principles, knowledge and information learned in the outside readings and relate them to real-life professional situations |
Presentation of information was exceptional and included all of the following elements:
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Presentation of information was good, but was superficial in places and included all of the following elements:
|
Presentation of information was minimally demonstrated in the all of the following elements:
|
Presentation of information is unsatisfactory in one of the following elements:
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Presentation of information is unsatisfactory in two of the following elements:
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Presentation of information is unsatisfactory in three of the following elements
|
10 Points | 9 Points | 6 Points | 0 Points | |||
Interactive Dialogue
Initial post should be a minimum of 300 words (references do not count toward word count) The peer and instructor responses must be a minimum of 150 words each (references do not count toward word count) Responses are substantive and relate to the topic. |
Demonstrated all of the following:
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Demonstrated 3 of the following:
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Demonstrated 2 of the following:
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Demonstrated 1 or less of the following:
|
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8 Points | 7 Points | 6 Points | 5 Points | 4 Points | 0 Points | |
Grammar, Syntax, APA
Points deducted for improper grammar, syntax and APA style of writing. The source of information is the APA Manual 6th Edition Error is defined to be a unique APA error. Same type of error is only counted as one error. |
The following was present:
AND
AND
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The following was present:
AND/OR
AND/OR
|
The following was present:
AND/OR
AND/OR
|
The following was present:
AND/OR
AND/OR
|
The following was present:
AND/OR
AND/OR
AND/OR
|
The following was present:
AND/OR
AND/OR
|
0 Points Deducted | 5 Points Lost | |||||
Participation
Requirements |
Demonstrated the following:
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Failed to demonstrate the following:
|
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0 Points Lost | 5 Points Lost | |||||
Due Date Requirements | Demonstrated all of the following:
A minimum of one peer and one instructor responses are to be posted within the course no later than Sunday, 11:59 pm MT. |
Demonstrates one or less of the following.
A minimum of one peer and one instructor responses are to be posted within the course no later than Sunday, 11:59 pm MT. |